Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.000207 0.000231 0.000258 0.000288 0.000321 0.000357 0.000399
2025-06-08 0.000170 0.000202 0.000239 0.000285 0.000338 0.000399 0.000474
2025-06-15 0.000144 0.000182 0.000227 0.000284 0.000356 0.000442 0.000553
2025-06-22 0.000124 0.000164 0.000214 0.000281 0.000369 0.000479 0.000628
2025-06-29 0.000111 0.000153 0.000208 0.000286 0.000391 0.000528 0.000721
2025-07-06 0.000099 0.000143 0.000202 0.000287 0.000408 0.000572 0.000810
2025-07-13 0.000088 0.000132 0.000193 0.000285 0.000419 0.000607 0.000890
2025-07-20 0.000082 0.000127 0.000192 0.000292 0.000443 0.000662 0.001001
2025-07-27 0.000075 0.000120 0.000187 0.000294 0.000460 0.000706 0.001100
2025-08-03 0.000069 0.000114 0.000182 0.000295 0.000474 0.000748 0.001197
2025-08-10 0.000063 0.000106 0.000175 0.000292 0.000481 0.000779 0.001279
2025-08-17 0.000058 0.000102 0.000172 0.000294 0.000498 0.000825 0.001388
2025-08-24 0.000053 0.000096 0.000166 0.000291 0.000506 0.000860 0.001482
2025-08-31 0.000049 0.000091 0.000161 0.000290 0.000517 0.000899 0.001588
2025-09-07 0.000046 0.000086 0.000158 0.000291 0.000531 0.000944 0.001706
2025-09-14 0.000042 0.000082 0.000153 0.000289 0.000539 0.000979 0.001810
2025-09-21 0.000040 0.000079 0.000152 0.000294 0.000561 0.001041 0.001963
2025-09-28 0.000037 0.000076 0.000150 0.000296 0.000577 0.001092 0.002103
2025-10-05 0.000035 0.000073 0.000145 0.000293 0.000585 0.001129 0.002218
2025-10-12 0.000033 0.000071 0.000146 0.000301 0.000611 0.001203 0.002408
2025-10-19 0.000032 0.000069 0.000144 0.000303 0.000628 0.001258 0.002566
2025-10-26 0.000030 0.000067 0.000142 0.000304 0.000642 0.001309 0.002718
2025-11-02 0.000028 0.000063 0.000137 0.000300 0.000647 0.001343 0.002837